Perhaps one reason we do complicated things naïvely is that we do not notice when circumstances change. Perhaps many of our maladptive feelings are ones we formed for a different world.
Trapped Priors As A Basic Problem Of Rationality. TODO: raid for refs, and then talk about this in the context of interpersonal dynamics. NB I think this phenomenon is interesting but I wish he did not use sloppy Bayesian terminology in this case; it sounds like he is talking about an excessively tight prior, but the dynamics of this case diverge in substantive ways from a direct Bayesian update with an excessively tight prior. One would need some more complicated structure to explain the observation, such as a hierarchical model incorporating observation reliability, or an action-observation loop.
DRMacIver’s Notebook: Your emotions are valid but probably wrong
See also the problem of growing up.
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