Stein’s method
His eyes are like angels but his heart is cold / No need to ask / He’s a Stein operator
March 12, 2021 — March 7, 2024
A famous generic method for approximating distributions and quantifying discrepancy and manufacturing concentration bounds and limit theorems is Stein’s method, typically in the form of the method of exchangeable pairs (Stein 1986, 1972). Traditionally it is used as a means of proving theorems and that is what we cover here. Computable versions of Stein discrepancy are covered under Stein Variational Gradient Descent.
Many diverse uses of this method have been made and no single reference seems to summarize them all for newcomers to the field.
Wikipedia is clear but outdated. Different bits are introduced in Barbour and Chen (2005);Chatterjee (2014);Meckes (2012);Ross (2011). An interesting jumping-off point is Lily Li’s Whirlwind Tour
In these notes we summarize Cindy Zhang’s survey (Zhang 2016) of Nathan Ross’ survey (Ross 2011) on the Fundamentals of Stein’s Method with particular emphasis on the proof of the Central Limit Theorem.
See also Fraser Daly’s video lecture, The Stein-Chen method.
Elizabeth Meckes, Stein’s Method: - The last gadget under the hood finally crystallizes it for me:
the Big Idea: The Stein Equation We need to solve the Stein equation: given a function \(g\), find \(f\) such that \[ T_o f(x)=g(x)-\mathbb{E} g(X) . \] We use \(U_0\) to denote the operator that gives the solution of the Stein equation: \[ f(x)=U_o g(x) . \] If \(f=U_o g\), observe that \[ \mathbb{E} T_o f(Y)=\mathbb{E} g(Y)-\mathbb{E} g(X) . \] Thus if \(\mathbb{E} T_0 f(Y)\) is small, then \(\mathbb{E} g(Y)-\mathbb{E} g(X)\) is small.
This leads naturally to notions of distance between the random variables \(X\) and \(Y\) which can be expressed in the form \[ d(X, Y)=\sup _{\mathcal{F}}|\mathbb{E} g(X)-\mathbb{E} g(Y)|, \] where the supremum is over some class \(\mathcal{F}\) of test functions \(g\). Examples: \[ \begin{aligned} & \mathcal{F}=\left\{f:\left\|f^{\prime}\right\|_{\infty} \leq 1\right\} \quad \longleftrightarrow \text { Wasserstein distance. } \\ & \mathcal{F}=\left\{f:\|f\|_{\infty}+\left\|f^{\prime}\right\|_{\infty} \leq 1\right\} \quad \longleftrightarrow \text { bounded } \\ & \text { Lipschitz distance. } \\ & \end{aligned} \]
Instead of trying to estimate the distance between \(X\) and \(Y\) directly, the problem has been reduced to trying to estimate \(\mathbb {E} T_o f (Y)\) for some large class of functions \(f\). Why is this any better?
Various techniques are in use for trying to estimate $ T_o f (Y) . Among them: - The method of exchangeable pairs (e.g. Stein’s book) - The dependency graph method (e.g. Arratia, Goldstein, and Gordon or Barbour, Karoński, and Ruciński) - Size-bias coupling (e.g. Goldstein and Rinott) - Zero-bias coupling (e.g. Goldstein and Reinert) - The generator method (Barbour)
1 Stein operators
1.1 Gaussian
The original form, Stein’s lemma (Stein 1972) gives us the Stein operator for the Gaussian distribution in particular. Meckes (2009) explains:
The normal distribution is the unique probability measure \(\mu\) for which \[
\int\left[f^{\prime}(x)-x f(x)\right] \mu(d x)=0
\] for all \(f\) for which the left-hand side exists and is finite. It is useful to think of this in terms of operators, specifically, the operator \(\mathcal{A}_{o}\) defined on \(C^{1}\) functions by \[
\mathcal{A}_{o} f(x)=f^{\prime}(x)-x f(x)
\] is called the characterising operator of the standard normal distribution.
This is incredibly useful in probability approximation by Gaussians where it justifies Stein’s method, below. It has apparently been extended to elliptical distributions and exponential families.
Multivariate? Why, yes please. The following lemma of Meckes (2006) gives a second-order characterising operator for the Gaussian distribution on \(\mathbb{R}^{k}\):
For \(f \in C^{1}\left(\mathbb{R}^{k}\right)\), define the gradient of \(f\) by \(\nabla f(x)=\left(\frac{\partial f}{\partial x_{1}}(x), \ldots, \frac{\partial f}{\partial x_{k}}(x)\right)^{t}\). Define the Laplacian of \(f\) by \(\Delta f(x)=\sum_{i=1}^{k} \frac{\partial^{2} f}{\partial x_{i}^{2}}(x)\). Now, let \(Z \sim \mathcal{N}(0_k, \mathrm{I}_k)\).
- If \(f: \mathbb{R}^{k} \rightarrow \mathbb{R}\) is two times continuously differentiable and compactly supported, then \[ \mathbb{E}[\Delta f(Z)-Z \cdot \nabla f(Z)]=0 \]
- If \(Y \in \mathbb{R}^{k}\) is a random vector such that \[ \mathbb{E}[\Delta f(Y)-Y \cdot \nabla f(Y)]=0 \] for every \(f \in C^{2}\left(\mathbb{R}^{k}\right)\), then \(\mathcal{L}(Y)=\mathcal{L}(Z) .\)
- If \(g \in C_{o}^{\infty}\left(\mathbb{R}^{k}\right)\), then the function \[ U_{o} g(x):=\int_{0}^{1} \frac{1}{2 t}[\mathbb{E} g(\sqrt{t} x+\sqrt{1-t} Z)-\mathbb{E} g(Z)] d t \] is a solution to the differential equation \[ \Delta h(x)-x \cdot \nabla h(x)=g(x)-\mathbb{E} g(Z) \]
1.2 Poisson
a.k.a. Stein-Chen (e.g. Chen 1998) \[\mathcal{A}_{o} f(k)=\lambda f(k+1)-k f(k)\]
1.3 Exponential
Ross (2011) mentions
\[ \mathcal{A}_{o} f(x)=f^{\prime}(x)-f(x)+f(0) \]
See also Chatterjee, Fulman, and Röllin (2011) who credits Stein et al. (2004) with > a random variable \(Z\) on \([0, \infty)\) is \(\operatorname{Exp}(1)\) if and only if \(\mathbb{E}\left[f^{\prime}(Z)-f(Z)\right]=-f\left(0^{+}\right)\) for all functions \(f\) in a large class of functions (whose precise definition we do not need).
1.4 Via the method of generators
Barbour (n.d.) gives us a method of creating Stein operators via infinitesimal generators on the way to a Poisson process Stein operator.
Summarised by Gesine Reinert in Barbour and Chen (2005):
The basic idea is to choose the operator \(\mathcal{A}\) to be the generator of a Markov process with stationary distribution \(\mu\). That is, for a homogeneous Markov process \(\left(X_t\right)_{t \geq 0}\), put \(T_t f(x)=\mathbb{E}\left(f\left(X_t\right) \mid X(0)=x\right)\). The generator of the Markov process is defined as \(\mathcal{A} f(x)=\lim _{t \downarrow 0} \frac{1}{t}\left(T_t f(x)-f(x)\right)\). Standard results for generators […]] yield
- If \(\mu\) is the stationary distribution of the Markov process then \(X \sim \mu\) if and only if \(\mathbb{E} \mathcal{A} f(X)=0\) for all real-valued functions \(f\) for which \(\mathcal{A} f\) is defined.
- \(T_t h-h=\mathcal{A}\left(\int_0^t T_u h d u\right)\), and, formally taking limits, \[ \int h d \mu-h=\mathcal{A}\left(\int_0^{\infty} T_u h d u\right) \] if the right-hand side exists. Thus the generator approach gives both a Stein equation and a candidate for its solution. One could hence view this approach as a Markov process perturbation technique.
Reassuring example:
The operator \[ \mathcal{A} h(x)=h^{\prime \prime}(x)-x h^{\prime}(x) \] is the generator of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with stationary distribution \(\mathcal{N}(0,1)\). Putting \(f=h^{\prime}\) gives the classical Stein characterization for \(\mathcal{N}(0,1)\)
2 Stein’s method for Gaussians via exchangeable pairs
Meckes (2009) summarises:
Heuristically, the univariate method of exchangeable pairs goes as follows. Let \(W\) be a random variable conjectured to be approximately Gaussian; assume that \(\mathbb{E} W=0\) and \(\mathbb{E} W^{2}=1 .\) From \(W,\) construct a new random variable \(W^{\prime}\) such that the pair \(\left(W, W^{\prime}\right)\) has the same distribution as \(\left(W^{\prime}, W\right) .\) This is usually done by making a “small random change” in $W”, so that \(W\) and \(W^{\prime}\) are close. Let \(\Delta=W^{\prime}-W\). If it can be verified that there is a \(\lambda>0\) such that \[ \begin{aligned} \mathbb{E}[\Delta \mid W]=-\lambda W+E_{1} \\ \mathbb{E}\left[\Delta^{2} \mid W\right]=2 \lambda+E_{2} \\ \mathbb{E}|\Delta|^{3}=E_{3} \end{aligned} \] with the random quantities \(E_{1}, E_{2}\) and the deterministic quantity \(E_{3}\) being small compared to \(\lambda,\) then \(W\) is indeed approximately Gaussian, and its distance to Gaussian (in some metric) can be bounded in terms of the \(E_{i}\) and \(\lambda\).
This comes out very nicely where there are natural symmetries to exploit, e.g. in low-d projections.
2.1 Multivariate Gaussian Stein method
The work of Elizabeth Meckes (1980—2020) is incredibly useful in this area. What a cruelly early death.
Two foundational ones are Chatterjee and Meckes (2008) and Meckes (2009) and there is a kind of introductory user guide in Meckes (2012); The examples are mostly about random projections although the method is much more general. The exchangeable pairs are natural in projections though, you can just switch off your brain and turn the handle to produce results, or easier yet, a computer algebra system that can handle noncommutative algebra can do it for you.
If the papers are too dense, try this friendly lecture, Stein’s Method — The last gadget under the hood.
3 Stein discrepancy
A probability metric based on something like “how well this distribution satisfies Stein’s lemma”, I think?