Seems to be real, dammit (Blomberg et al. 2021). Well then, how bad is it? How much risk of it should I tolerate. Elizabeth Aceso argues Long Covid Is Not Necessarily Your Biggest Problem, i.e. that it is a real problem but does not loom particularly large amongst in all the other real problems. Scott Alexander that it looms reasonably large.
- ViraTrace/InfectionModel: Code for the ViraTrace infection model.
- BDI-pathogens/OpenABM-Covid19: OpenABM-Covid19: an agent-based model for modelling the spread of SARS-CoV-2 (coronavirus) and control interventions for the Covid-19 epidemic
- zalandoresearch/CRISP: A probabilistic graphical model for COVID-19 infection spread through a population based on mutual contacts between pairs of individuals across time as well as test outcomes. The C++/Python implementation enables full inference at the scale of millions of contacts between thousands of individuals.
- Making Sense of COVID-19 through Simulations
- What Happens Next? COVID-19 Futures, Explained With Playable Simulations
All I have for now is a microlife COVID risk calculator.
I like it a lot, but check the dates and specificity of the data for your region, and bear in mind that it is just an estimator, and written by non-epidemiologists.
Wow, why is the Vitamin D literature so spammy?
- Dr. Fauci takes 6,000 IU of Vitamin D daily – Sept 2020 | VitaminDWiki
- Vitamin D Nearly Abolishes ICU Risk in COVID-19
tl;dr; AFAICT the case that Vitamin D is helpful is OKish, and the case that it is not hurtful is strong so why not take heaps of Vitamin D?
Current restrictions where I live
TRacking sites for Austalia
- Top 100 R resources on Novel COVID-19 Coronavirus | by Antoine Soetewey | Towards Data Science
- GitHub - zappingseb/coronashiny: A shiny app visualizing corona data
- Covid-19: the SPQEIR model
- Assessing suppression strategies against epidemic outbreaks like COVID-19: the SPQEIR model | medRxiv
- GitHub - CBDRH/covoid: COVID-19 Open-source Infection Dynamics