Diffusion of innovations

Epidemiology of widgets



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Models such as the Bass diffusion model impose an epidemiological structure on the contagion of products, with a survival analysis flavour. Or, if you’d like, memetics but for technical ideas rather than beliefs.

References

Aral, Sinan, Lev Muchnik, and Arun Sundararajan. 2009. β€œDistinguishing Influence-Based Contagion from Homophily-Driven Diffusion in Dynamic Networks.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106 (51): 21544–49.
Bakshy, Eytan, Dean Eckles, Rong Yan, and Itamar Rosenn. 2012. β€œSocial Influence in Social Advertising: Evidence from Field Experiments.” In Proceedings of the 13th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce, 146–61. EC ’12. New York, NY, USA: Association for Computing Machinery.
Bakshy, Eytan, Itamar Rosenn, Cameron Marlow, and Lada Adamic. 2012. β€œThe Role of Social Networks in Information Diffusion.” In Proceedings of the 21st International Conference on World Wide Web, 519–28. WWW ’12. New York, NY, USA: ACM.
Bass, Frank M. 1969. β€œA New Product Growth for Model Consumer Durables.” Management Science 15 (5): 215–27.
β€”β€”β€”. 2004. β€œComments on β€˜A New Product Growth for Model Consumer Durables The Bass Model’.” Management Science 50 (12_supplement): 1833–40.
Bentley, R Alexander, Paul Ormerod, and Michael Batty. 2011. β€œEvolving Social Influence in Large Populations.” Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology 65 (3): 537–46.
Bentley, R Alexander, Paul Ormerod, and Stephen Shennan. 2011. β€œPopulation-Level Neutral Model Already Explains Linguistic Patterns.” Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 278 (1713): 1770–72.
Flache, Andreas, Michael MΓ€s, Thomas Feliciani, Edmund Chattoe-Brown, Guillaume Deffuant, Sylvie Huet, and Jan Lorenz. 2017. β€œModels of Social Influence: Towards the Next Frontiers.” Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 20 (4): 2.
Goel, Sharad, Ashton Anderson, Jake Hofman, and Duncan J. Watts. 2015. β€œThe Structural Virality of Online Diffusion.” Management Science, July, 150722112809007.
Goel, Sharad, Duncan J. Watts, and Daniel G. Goldstein. 2012. β€œThe Structure of Online Diffusion Networks.” In Proceedings of the 13th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce - EC ’12, 623. Valencia, Spain: ACM Press.
Houghton, James P. 2021. β€œInterdependent Diffusion: The Social Contagion of Interacting Beliefs.” arXiv:2010.02188 [Physics], January.
Iribarren, Jose Luis, and Esteban Moro. 2009. β€œImpact of Human Activity Patterns on the Dynamics of Information Diffusion.” Physical Review Letters 103 (3): 038702.
Meade, N., and Towhidul Islam. 2006. β€œModeling and Forecasting the Diffusion of Innovation - A 25 Year Review.” International Journal of Forecasting 22 (January): 529–45.
Ormerod, Paul, and R Alexander Bentley. 2010. β€œModelling Creative Innovation.” Cultural Science 3 (1).
Ormerod, Paul, and Greg Wiltshire. 2009. β€œβ€˜Binge’ Drinking in the UK: A Social Network Phenomenon.” Mind & Society 8 (2): 135–52.
Rogers, Everett M. 2002. β€œDiffusion of Preventive Innovations.” Addictive Behaviors, Integrating Substance Abuse Treatment and Prevention in the Community, 27 (6): 989–93.
Rogers, Everett M. 1987. β€œDiffusion of Innovations: An Overview.” In Use and Impact of Computers in Clinical Medicine, edited by James G. Anderson and Stephen J. Jay, 113–31. Computers and Medicine. New York, NY: Springer.
Romero, Daniel M., Brendan Meeder, and Jon Kleinberg. 2011. β€œDifferences in the Mechanics of Information Diffusion Across Topics: Idioms, Political Hashtags, and Complex Contagion on Twitter.” In Proceedings of the 20th International Conference on World Wide Web, 695–704. WWW ’11. New York, NY, USA: Association for Computing Machinery.
Rossman, Gabriel. 2012. Climbing the Charts: What Radio Airplay Tells Us about the Diffusion of Innovation. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Sinha, Rajiv K., and Murali Chandrashekaran. 1992. β€œA Split Hazard Model for Analyzing the Diffusion of Innovations.” Journal of Marketing Research 29 (1): 116–27.
Young, H Peyton. 2002. β€œThe Diffusion of Innovations in Social Networks.”

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